Understanding the Benefit-Cost Ratio (BCR)

3 min read

What is BCR benefit-cost ratio

When it comes to making an informed investment decision, one way is to use the benefit-cost ratio (BCR).

Benefit-Cost Ratio Defined

The BCR calculates how profitable a project’s (or an asset’s) cash flows are via a present value cash flow analysis. It takes the value of all incoming cash flows and weighs it against the same project’s or asset’s outgoing cash flows. If the calculation results in a BCR higher than 1, then more than likely that asset and/or project will provide a positive outcome.

How the Benefit-Cost Ratio is Calculated

=  ((Moneys received / 1 + discount rate) ^ Cash flow time frames)) / ((Moneys expended / 1 + discount rate) ^ Cash flow time frames))

Money received can also be referred to as the cash flows’ benefits. Money expended is also referred to as cash flow. This formula essentially divides the discounted cash flows by the discounted cash outflows. It’s important to mention that the discount rate can also be referred to as the business’s or investor’s required return.

The following is an example of the different levels of cash flows:

  Start 1 Year Later 2 Years Later 3 Years Later
Outflows -$8,000 -$16,000 -$20,000 -$27,500
In-Flows $80,000 $120,000
Net Cash Flow -$8,000 -$16,000 $60,000 $92,500

Based on the calculations, the following illustrates the results for both Discounted Costs and Discounted Benefits:

Time Frame Discounted Costs Discounted Benefits
Start $8,000 0
After 1 Year -$16,000 / (1 + 10 percent)1 = $14,545.45 0
After 2 Years -$20,000 / (1 + 10 percent)2 = $16,528.93 $80,000 / (1 + 10 percent)2 = $66,115.70
After 3 Years -$27,500 / (1 + 10 percent)3 = $20,661.16 $92,500 / (1 + 10 percent)3 = $69,496.62

The final calculation sums up the Discounted Benefits and the Discounted Costs and then divides them, resulting in:

$135,612.32 / $59,735.54 = 2.27

Analyzing the Results

The resulting figure means that $2.27 is expected to be generated per $1 invested. It can be used by both internal stakeholders and potential external investors to gauge if the asset or project is worth the risk.

If the BCR came back at less than 1, it would indicate an Internal Rate of Return (IRR) that is lower than the discount rate. This reading would also show that the net present value of the project or asset is projected to be negative.

If the BCR is 1, this essentially means the net pre-set value is zero. The IRR would be equal to the discount rate.

If, however, the BCR is more than 1 – as in the example above – it means the IRR is higher than the discount rate, and the net present value is more than zero.

It’s important to consider that these are only assumptions. If, for example, the cash flow forecasting is incorrect or the discount rate is off, the ratio can provide wide variances.

Conclusion

Whether it’s an internal stakeholder or a potential investor, this ratio can and should be used as part of a holistic financial analysis program.

Understanding the EV/2P Ratio

3 min read

What are the EV/2P RatioWhen it comes to raw materials, especially for fossil fuels, it’s essential to evaluate existing and potential production capabilities for such companies. Using the EV/2P Ratio is a powerful tool when evaluating fossil fuel-related companies.

Defining the Ratio

This ratio is calculated by dividing a business’ enterprise value into the company’s reserves. It provides financial analysts, investors and internal business stakeholders with a snapshot of a company’s reserves and the business’ likelihood of preserving operation growth. This standardizes valuations, thereby allowing analysts to compare company-to-company financials.

How to Calculate EV/2P

Enterprise Value (EV) / Total 2P Reserves

Defined as: Enterprise Value = Equity (open market price) + Debt (open market price) – Cash and Cash Equivalents

2P = Proven and Probable Reserves

Illustrating the Calculation

If a company’s capitalization is $300 million and debt consisting of $225 million, along with $30 million for proven reserve value, $20 million in probable reserves, and $25 million in possible reserves, the company’s resulting enterprise value becomes:

$300 million + $225 million = $525 million

The 2P reserves is:

$30 million + $20 million = $50 million

Plugging the numbers into the original formula, it’s: $525 million / $50 million = 10.5x (multiple)

Based on the resulting 10.5 multiple, this ratio provides a current valuation that translates to for every $1 in 2P reserves equals $10.50 of a market valuation.

Reserves are how internal/external stakeholders value the production/growth potential of oil/gas companies. It’s broken down into two categories:

1.) P1 are proven reserves, which are the highest caliber reserves. There’s at least a 9 in 10 percent likelihood (or more) of recoverable reserves. It’s also known as P90.

2.) Probable reserve (also known as P50) has an even chance of either non-recoverability or realized recoverability. This is the next best, but a lesser grade than P1.

These two resource categories are referred to as 2P.

Putting it in Perspective

Depending on the company’s calculated EV/2P Ratio, the business owner or investor can determine a course of action to take.

If it’s higher, it’s more highly valued than its competitors based on the same level of 2P reserves; therefore, the company’s shares are more expensive against its peers. This can give investors pause because other undervalued stocks are more attractive due to a higher likelihood they’ll appreciate.

However, if a company is valued higher, but the company is more efficient or a higher performer, investors also may be interested because its production and earnings justify the higher valuation. That’s why looking at the metric in a silo is not effective.

Debt Concerns

When it comes to debt and analyzing this ratio, fossil fuel businesses are often highly levered since they use massive sums of debt for research and development and continued operations.

Since the EV value looks at debt and equity concurrently, analyzing a company’s capital structure is essential when comparing companies’ valuations. Essentially, if a company has too much debt and if interest rates suddenly increase or it can’t service debt if the price of crude plummets, it may run into debt servicing issues.

While this ratio is effective in providing a level playing field for analytical uses, it’s important to remember that it needs to be used in conjunction with comprehensive financial analysis.

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What to Expect with an IRS Audit

4 min read

What to Expect with an IRS AuditIf the IRS sends notice that you’re being audited, you’re likely to become anxious. However, not all audits mean you did something wrong. In most cases, it is simply a matter of verifying information on a tax return or perhaps correcting a minor error. Knowing what to expect – and how to respond – can help alleviate stress and make the audit more manageable.

An IRS audit (also referred to as an examination) is a review of your records to confirm that the information on your tax return was reported accurately and follows tax law. The best way to prepare for an audit is to respond on time, present organized and complete records, be cooperative, and communicate professionally.

Technically, most audits are triggered via an automated scoring system referred to as the DIF, which stands for Discriminant Information Function. The system flags something on your tax return that stood out. This could be inconsistencies, missing income, unusually high deductions, or inputs that don’t match information the IRS already has. Here are three key facts about IRS timing for audits:

  • The IRS generally looks back three years based on the statute of limitations
  • Most audits are related to returns filed within the past two years
  • In cases of substantial errors, audits can extend up to the last six years, especially in cases where it is believed that more than 25 percent of gross income was omitted from the filing
  • There is no statute of limitations in cases of fraud or failure to file

The Audit Process

Almost all IRS audits start with a letter stating that your return has been selected for examination. This notice will be sent by mail – not a phone call, text, or email. The letter will include the name of your assigned reviewer, his or her IRS identification number, and phone number. You should call the IRS directly to verify this information, as scammers are known to impersonate the IRS to steal money or personal data.

You may be asked to provide a variety of specific documents based on what issue(s) triggered the audit. Be sure to provide copies, not originals. Depending on your situation, the requested documents could include:

  • Income records
  • Investment statements
  • Bank forms
  • Receipts and bills
  • Canceled checks
  • Legal documents (such as divorce or custody agreements)
  • Loan agreements and settlement statements
  • Travel logs, diaries, or ticket stubs
  • Medical and dental records
  • Theft or loss of documentation (insurance claims, photos, police reports)
  • Employment records
  • Schedule K-1 forms for partnerships or S corporations

The following are the three types of IRS Audits:

Correspondence Audit – These are the least complex and are conducted entirely by mail. Sometimes the IRS simply identifies a math error or missing income and asks for payment or clarification. You can either pay the amount due or respond with documentation if you believe the IRS is incorrect.

Office Audit – An office audit requires you to visit an IRS office with the requested records. You will receive an Information Document Request (IDR) form detailing what to bring. Showing up with organized records can help resolve these audits quickly.

Field Audit – The field audit is the most extensive. An IRS agent will come to your home or business to review records. Although you will receive an IDR in advance, the agent may decide to escalate the review if he notices any “large, unusual or questionable” (LUQ) items.

The key points to remember are that poor recordkeeping and/or lack of cooperation tend to trigger a more detailed and time-consuming audit.

Once the Audit Is Complete

After the audit, the IRS will issue a report describing its findings. It may determine that no changes are necessary to your return; that you owe additional tax; or that you may be owed a refund. Should you disagree with the findings, you have options:

  • Request to meet with an IRS manager
  • Use mediation or alternative dispute resolution
  • File an appeal with the IRS
  • Take the case to court if necessary

If you agree with the audit findings, you’ll need to sign the examination report and choose from various payment options if you owe any taxes.